Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000496 0.000536 0.000578 0.000624 0.000674 0.000727 0.000787
2026-01-11 0.000439 0.000495 0.000556 0.000627 0.000706 0.000794 0.000897
2026-01-18 0.000397 0.000464 0.000539 0.000629 0.000735 0.000855 0.001001
2026-01-25 0.000364 0.000438 0.000523 0.000629 0.000756 0.000905 0.001093
2026-02-01 0.000331 0.000409 0.000501 0.000618 0.000763 0.000937 0.001162
2026-02-08 0.000305 0.000385 0.000483 0.000609 0.000770 0.000968 0.001229
2026-02-15 0.000283 0.000365 0.000467 0.000602 0.000778 0.000998 0.001295
2026-02-22 0.000264 0.000348 0.000453 0.000596 0.000784 0.001026 0.001360
2026-03-01 0.000248 0.000332 0.000440 0.000589 0.000790 0.001052 0.001421
2026-03-08 0.000231 0.000315 0.000425 0.000579 0.000789 0.001069 0.001471
2026-03-15 0.000217 0.000301 0.000412 0.000570 0.000790 0.001088 0.001522
2026-03-22 0.000202 0.000284 0.000394 0.000554 0.000780 0.001090 0.001550
2026-03-29 0.000188 0.000269 0.000379 0.000543 0.000778 0.001106 0.001600
2026-04-05 0.000179 0.000260 0.000373 0.000542 0.000790 0.001143 0.001684
2026-04-12 0.000171 0.000252 0.000367 0.000543 0.000806 0.001184 0.001775
2026-04-19 0.000162 0.000244 0.000361 0.000542 0.000817 0.001220 0.001860
2026-04-26 0.000153 0.000233 0.000349 0.000533 0.000815 0.001236 0.001915
2026-05-03 0.000144 0.000223 0.000339 0.000525 0.000816 0.001255 0.001974
2026-05-10 0.000137 0.000214 0.000331 0.000519 0.000818 0.001276 0.002038
2026-05-17 0.000130 0.000206 0.000323 0.000514 0.000820 0.001298 0.002103
2026-05-24 0.000124 0.000199 0.000315 0.000508 0.000822 0.001318 0.002167
2026-05-31 0.000117 0.000190 0.000305 0.000499 0.000818 0.001329 0.002214
2026-06-07 0.000111 0.000183 0.000297 0.000491 0.000816 0.001342 0.002267